Tulane Green Wave

2025 Pigskin Picks of Profundity…Week 17

Bowl season has already began. Did you know that?? Did anyone even notice?? One of the concerns some had a long time ago about a college football playoff was that it would negatively impact bowl games, and that has proven to be the case. Teams like Notre Dame, Iowa St., Kansas St., and a bunch of 5-7 teams that never would’ve been invited in the past anyway, all turned down bowl bids, because really, if it isn’t the CFP it doesn’t matter. Why bother?? The transfer portal has essentially created a second recruiting period, and when you add the coaching carousel into the mix, coaches who are basically rebuilding a team from scratch on an annual basis, especially if they are in a new place, simply don’t have time to bother with the Kellogg’s Cereal Bowl against a mediocre directional school on a random weekday afternoon the week before Christmas. There is no honor or prestige anymore. A bowl game isn’t a reward, it is a burden. The benefits of extra practice time have evaporated because the team is going to be completely overhauled by spring anyway. NFL prospects aren’t risking their lucrative future with nothing significant on the line, like a national championship. The only entity that benefits from the bowl system these days is ESPN, because football fans will watch those odd matchups at 4pm on a Wednesday, or atleast their televisions will be providing background noise while they’re doing something more important. At any rate, all of this is just another reason why the entire collegiate athletics business model needs totally renovated, with legitimate leadership. I won’t hold my breath though.

Observations from Last Week:

  • Army-Navy rarely disappoints 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻.
  • What’s the deal with Vanderbilt QB Diego Pavia?? In the wake of finishing second in the Heisman voting to Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza, Pavia apparently threw more than one temper tantrum, both in real life & on social media. At 5ft.10 (if that) Pavia is unlikely to make an impact in the NFL, but why torpedo the slim chance that might exist by acting like a petulant brat?? Sit down & shut your pie hole young man 🤐 . Peyton Manning & Marshall Faulk both placed second too, and they did okay in the aftermath.
  • Perhaps there is still hope for Vikings quarterback JJ McCarthy 🤔.
  • I laugh at the people who say the Colts should’ve signed Cam Newton or Colin Kaepernick to solve their quarterback problem. Neither one of those guys would have been a better option than Philip Rivers. Sadly, there are no great options, but instead of recognizing that reality some have chosen to interject identity politics into the discussion, because that’s an easy cop out nowadays.
  • Tough season for the KC Chiefs, who were eliminated from playoff contention for the first time in a decade. Then, to make matters worse, Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL late in the 4th quarter, which could impact NEXT season 👀. The dynasty may really be over.

My Season: 48-55

Zach’s Season: 49-54

Philadelphia (-6.5) at Washington

The 9-5 Eagles got back on the winning track last week and hold an insurmountable lead in their division. The 4-10 Commanders have seen their season torpedoed by injuries. As a matter of fact, with nothing to play for they’ve already decided to shut down QB Jayden Daniels for the remainder of the season. I am beginning to wonder if Washington may use their Top Ten first round pick on another quarterback. Crazy?? Perhaps. Shocking?? Possibly. But Daniels, as talented as he may be, is injury prone, and potential can never be realized on the bench. Anyway, Philly should win this Saturday evening matchup rather easily. Zach views the Eagles as inconsistent, but also understands they tend to get their stuff together late in the season. Given the circumstances he is rolling the dice on the visitors.

My Pick: Philadelphia 

Zach’s Pick: Philadelphia 

Green Bay (-1.5) at Chicago

Bold prediction…sort of – don’t be surprised if the 10-4 Bears lose their remaining three games, finish 10-7, and miss the playoffs. Am I putting money on that scenario?? Of course not…but it is more than plausible. One of the teams that would benefit is the 9-4-1 Packers, who are clinging tightly to a wildcard berth, but will be without the services of pass rusher Micah Parsons after he tore his ACL last week. This is a Saturday night game, and it is h-u-g-e. Green Bay won the previous matchup earlier this month by a touchdown, and I think they can do it again despite Parsons’ absence. Zach concurs.

My Pick: Green Bay  

Zach’s Pick: Green Bay 

Las Vegas at Houston (-14.5)

I honestly thought the coaching comeback of Pete Carroll and trading for QB Geno Smith were positive steps for the Raiders, but sitting in the AFC West basement at 2-12 indicates otherwise. Conversely, the 9-5 Texans have been victorious in six consecutive games, which is certainly a switch after they began the season 0-3. They are in a hell of a battle in their division, and haven’t yet clinched a playoff spot. No one expects Vegas to win, but can Houston cover?? Although I am somewhat trepidatious, I will ride with the home favorites. Zach feels like the Texans are peaking at the right time.

My Pick: Houston

Zach’s Pick: Houston 

Tampa Bay (-3) at Carolina

The NFC South has traditionally come down to the wire, but the Bucs have been crowned division champs four seasons in a row. At 7-7 these teams are in a tie for first place, and it looks like a wildcard berth isn’t going to materialize for whoever finishes second. They play each other twice in the last three weeks of the season, and despite losing five of the past six games I still feel like Tampa is the better team. Zach agrees.

My Pick: Tampa Bay  

Zach’s Pick: Tampa Bay 

Tulane at Ole Miss (-17.5)

I have made my feelings clear on the playoff. I don’t believe these participation trophy invitations to Group of Five conference champions is the right way to go. This is actually a rematch, with the two teams having ironically met up way back in September. Mississippi won that game by 35 points. Despite the departure of Lane Kiffin, I’d be surprised if the Rebels encounter any problems administering another beatdown to the Green Wave. Zach has a bit more faith in Tulane to be competitive, but still sees Ole Miss pulling away in the fourth quarter.

My Pick: Ole Miss   

Zach’s Pick: Ole Miss

James Madison at Oregon (-21.5)

Ditto, only worse. The Ducks haven’t lost their coach and they’re a better team than Ole Miss. This could get ugly. Conversely, Zach has even more confidence in JMU than Tulane. He doesn’t think they have enough depth or speed to actually upset Oregon, but he doesn’t believe they’ll lose by three touchdowns.

My Pick: Oregon  

Zach’s Pick: James Madison

Alabama (-1.5) at Oklahoma

We can debate whether or not ‘Bama deserved a playoff berth, but atleast this is a compelling matchup. Actually, it is another rematch because, as I constantly have to remind myself, Oklahoma is in the SEC now 🤦🏻‍♂️. When these teams met in Tuscaloosa a month ago the Sooners defense caused three turnovers that led to 17 points en route to victory that wasn’t secure until the final minute. There has been alot of noise lately about Tide coach Kalen DeBoer bolting after just two seasons to take the Michigan job, which would be insane. At any rate, given that distraction and the home field, I believe Oklahoma will win again with a late field goal. Zach, on the other hand, doesn’t believe The Tide will be rolled by the same opponent twice.

My Pick: Oklahoma  

Zach’s Pick: Alabama

Miami (FL) at Texas A&M (-3.5) 

The CFP committee received some heat for giving the playoff nod to the Hurricanes over Notre Dame, but head to head results matter, and Miami beat the Irish in the season opener. Coincidentally, A&M defeated Notre Dame the following week. The Aggies were unbeaten until they ran into in state rival Texas on Black Friday. College Station provides a huge home field advantage, so, though I don’t think it’ll be a blowout, I believe the home favorites will win comfortably. Zach sees the game as a tossup, but feels like Miami, and especially QB Carson Beck, can be a bit erratic at times. He leans toward it being a much closer game than I do, but with the same result.

My Pick: Texas A&M  

Zach’s Pick: Texas A&M

2025 Pigskin Picks of Profundity…Week 16

Our picks will focus on the NFL this week, but before we get to that let us contemplate the College Football Playoff since the field has now been set.

Imagine if a bunch of suits were to sit in a room and decide whether the Green Bay Packers were worthy of being in the playoffs, or if the berth should be awarded to the Los Angeles Rams. Ponder the possibility of the New England Patriots winning their division but being left out of the postseason while the Buffalo Bills are invited to the party. Laughable, right?? So why is it okay in college football?? Look, this isn’t the time to address all of the issues, but let’s consider a few things. 

First & foremost, there is a clear separation, both in perception and reality, between the “Power Four” & “Group of Five” conferences. While it is a nice story that Tulane & James Madison made the CFP, no one will be surprised when they are obliterated in the first round. It’s way past time for FBS to be divided into two divisions, each with their own national championship. Secondly, what is the point of conference title games when a team can win the championship (Duke) but not be in the playoff, while a team that didn’t even play in that game (Miami) still gets into the playoff?? Make it make sense. How can a team like Alabama that has three losses & were dominated in their conference title game receive a bid, while Virginia, who has the same record and lost their title game in OT, is left out?? 

The NFL is a meritocracy. On the field results…wins & losses…decisive, unemotional, indisputable facts are the only things that matter. Conversely, college football is a beauty contest where brand names, pedigree, money, and PR become deciding factors in important decisions, and it doesn’t matter whether it is two teams (remember the BCS?? 🙄), four teams, 12 teams, or inevitably 16 teams, because the powers-that-be (mainly ESPN) LOVE the debate. It is utterly ridiculous.

Observations from Last Week:

  • “Snow Globe games” (shoutout Scott Hanson) are fun to watch on TV, but there is no way in Hell I’d attend one in person ❄️.
  • I don’t possess enough expertise to analyze what has gone sideways with the Kansas City Chiefs, so let’s just blame their downfall on Taylor Swift.
  • Six months ago no one would’ve said a team is cooked without QB Daniel Jones, but after beginning the season 7-1 the Colts have lost four of the last five games, all while the Jacksonville Jaguars have won 5 of their last 6. Now Indy has to make their playoff push with rookie Riley Leonard, MAYBE Anthony Richardson, or possibly…*checks notes*…Philip Rivers, who is 44 years old & hasn’t played in the NFL since President Trump’s first term. Good luck 👀.
  • Well, two of my six fantasy teams are playoff bound, so atleast I got that going for me, which is nice.
  • The Steelers obviously heard all the criticism concerning receiver DK Metcalf’s lack of involvement in the offense. Keep it up yinzers…apparently it takes a ton of public scrutiny for Pittsburgh’s braintrust to do what should’ve been done in the first place 👊🏻.

My Season: 47-51

Zach’s Season: 44-54

Baltimore (-2.5) at Cincinnati

As a Steelers fan I have no problem opining that yes…that was a touchdown. IYKYK. However, as many times as the Steelers have been screwed over by poor officiating in the past…well, let’s just say I didn’t lose any sleep over this particular questionable call. At any rate, coming into the season the Ravens were amongst the favorites to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, but right now, at 6-7, they need to figure things out quickly just to make the playoffs. Meanwhile, the 4-9 Bengals have looked much better since the return of QB Joe Burrow, but still pissed away a victory in Buffalo last weekend. It’s almost as if we’ve yet to see who either of these teams really are this year, or perhaps what they are and what they were supposed to be are vastly different. With the home field I like Burrow to connect with his elite receiving corps on enough big plays to pull off a slightly surprising upset. Zach points out that the Bengals won the Thanksgiving meeting between these two in Baltimore, but doesn’t think they can do it twice. He agrees that the Ravens were unlucky last week, but still believes they are a superior team.

My Pick: Cincinnati 

Zach’s Pick: Baltimore

 

LA Chargers at Kansas City (-4.5)

The 6-7 Chiefs aren’t winning their division, and though they aren’t mathematically eliminated from the playoffs yet, ALOT has to go their way in the final month of the season. Conversely, the 9-4 Chargers, who aren’t winning the division either, sit in a rather comfortable wildcard spot if they don’t implode in the next few weeks. It would undoubtedly thrill the folks out in Los Angeles to put the final nail in KC’s coffin, but where is the drama in that?? Depending upon one’s level of cynicism, you have to believe that it’d be far more interesting for the Chiefs to retain a shred of hope while casting doubt on the Chargers’ postseason aspirations. Zach is simply looking at the fact that the Chargers are a better team that is peaking at the right time.

My Pick: Kansas City 

Zach’s Pick: LA Chargers

Buffalo (-1.5) at New England

The 8-4 Bills haven’t been quite the juggernaut many might’ve expected this season, but after an epic 4th quarter comeback last weekend they remain in the thick of the fight. Their biggest adversary?? The surprising Patriots. At 11-2 there is no shadow of nefarious tactics or propping of alleged icons. This team is legit. I don’t think there is any chance that Buffalo can overcome the numbers and win the AFC East. However, I do think they’ll avenge an October loss and remind everyone who they are. New England has had a great season and will be crowned division champions, but they are still a young team with lessons to learn. Zach concurs, believing that Buffalo’s recent experience in big games gives them the edge.

My Pick: Buffalo

Zach’s Pick: Buffalo

Green Bay (-2.5) at Denver

The 11-2 Broncos have already exceeded expectations and have a firm grasp on their division, although there is certainly work left to be done. They have won ten games in a row, and I am the type of guy who is less surprised by a bubble bursting than good fortune continuing in perpetuity. The Packers sit at 9-3-1 and are riding a four game winning streak, but they’re in a hell of a dogfight in their division. Can the NFC North put three teams in the playoffs?? Even if that happens, there is a huge difference between a division champion and a wildcard, which could be the 7th seed in the conference. That means this is a HUGE game. As mentioned, I believe bubbles are meant to burst, so I think Denver’s run ends at ten games, but it won’t have much of a negative impact. I predict The Pack & the Detroit Lions will both overcome the Chicago Bears and have an opportunity to be the NFC’s top seed. Zach foresees a high scoring affair, but thinks the Packers will struggle a bit in elevated mountain air.

My Pick: Green Bay

Zach’s Pick: Denver

Indianapolis at Seattle (-11.5)

Good Lord, what is happening in Indianapolis?!?!?? They’ve lost 3 of the past 4 games, now sit behind Jacksonville & Houston in the AFC South, could miss out on a wildcard berth, and won’t have the services of starting QB Daniel Jones down the stretch due to an achilles injury. It probably can’t get much worse for the Colts. Conversely, the 10-3 Seahawks have won six of their last seven games and sit atop the NFC West alongside the L.A. Rams. The  conference’s top seed remains very much in their grasp. This would’ve been a far more entertaining contest a month ago, but now it seems like a foregone conclusion, with only the margin of victory in question. Can Seattle cover the points?? With one of the league’s best home fields I believe they will. Zach agrees that Indy is a dumpster fire, but the points are just too much.

My Pick: Seattle

Zach’s Pick: Indianapolis

 

2025 Pigskin Picks of Profundity…Week 15

It seems like just yesterday we were talking about season openers, yet here we are on the cusp of Championship Weekend in college football. That’s our focus for now…we’ll get back to the NFL next weekend. There’s alot happening, with the coaching carousel, playoff maneuvering, and bowl bids going out soon, but the games this weekend are meaningful and will have tentacles that reach into the future. Enjoy.

Observations from Last Week:

  • I was pleasantly shocked by Cincinnati’s Thanksgiving night upset of the Ravens. Five turnovers almost never bodes well, and it’s unusual to see Baltimore make so many mistakes. Sadly, my Steelers couldn’t take advantage of the early holiday gift.
  • Clearly WVU’s fandom is transactional. Sure, it’s been a terrible season, but it was embarrassing to see the sparse crowd gathered at Mountaineer Field on a lovely November afternoon for a game against a Top 5 opponent. Why would any talented athlete want to matriculate to Morgantown??
  • Can we just go ahead & split NCAA Division 1 football into two levels with two championships?? The Power 4 conferences (and Notre Dame 🙄) can argue about 16 playoff spots (although conference title games should be Round 1…kind of the reverse of four teams getting first round byes), while the rest would have a legit opportunity to compete for something meaningful.
  • Puka Nakua, in addition to having a cool name, is perhaps the best receiver in football right now. 
  • The needs in fantasy football & real football are frequently at odds. Running back tandems, deep receiving corps with multiple talented pass catchers, and prudent game management with an emphasis on time of possession, strong defense, & field position are all beneficial to actual NFL teams, while causing fantasy owners headaches.

My Season: 45-44

Zach’s Season: 41-48

Conference USA Championship 

Kennesaw State (-2.5) at Jacksonville State

I’ll be honest…I am completely out of my depth with this one. I have atleast heard of Jax St. since that is where Rich Fraudriguez had been slumming before he came crawling back to coach at West Virginia (I wish he’d just stayed put). Kennesaw is apparently located on the outskirts of Atlanta. They only began playing football in 2015 and joined C-USA last year, while Jax St. came into the conference in 2023. The 8-4 Gamecocks beat the 9-3 Owls a few weeks ago, and I see no reason that’ll change. It’s a Friday night kickoff on CBS Sports Network in case you have absolutely nothing else happening in your sad little life. Zach agrees.

My Pick: Jacksonville St.

Zach’s Pick: Jacksonville St.

Sun Belt Championship

Troy at James Madison (-22.5)

I really wish my Marshall Thundering Herd were playing in this game, but they couldn’t even achieve bowl eligibility. Hey, atleast their former coach, who left town like a lil bitch a year ago and took most of the players with him to Southern Miss, failed to lead his team to the title game, so that’s nice. At any rate, the 11-1 Dukes only have a respectable loss to Louisville blemishing their record, while the 8-4 Trojans have had a much bumpier road. The home team is winning the title, and I think they’ll cover as well. I can’t believe we’re still talking about “style points” in 2025, but James Madison needs to impress a bunch of people if they hope to grab the Group of Five participation trophy berth in the playoff. Zach concurs.

My Pick: James Madison 

Zach’s Pick: James Madison

American Athletic Championship

North Texas (-2.5) at Tulane

The Mean Green not only have a kickass nickname, but come in with an impressive 11-1 record. Their only loss was an absolute beatdown at the hands of South Florida way back in October. The 10-2 Green Wave (also a cool moniker) have victories over Northwestern & Duke, which is probably why they seem to be favored to snag the Group of Five token playoff spot if they win the AAC title. Both head coaches will be moving on to greener pastures (sorry, I couldn’t resist), but kudos to them for finishing the task at hand. This is being given a prime time Friday night slot on ABC, which is impressive. Tulane won a regular season matchup between the two a season ago, but we all know how much things change from year to year in college football. I usually lean toward the home field advantage in these scenarios, however, I think the visiting favorites get a close win and just barely cover the points. North Texas is apparently hiring former WVU head coach Neal Brown, so hopefully they get to enjoy one last hurrah before he asks their fan base to “trust the climb”…downward into mediocrity (at best). Conversely, Zach feels like Tulane has been battle tested with a tougher schedule, and he believes they’ll come out on top in a shootout.

My Pick: North Texas

Zach’s Pick: Tulane

Mountain West Championship

UNLV at Boise State (-3.5)

This will be the third consecutive year that these teams do battle for the conference championship, with the Broncos winning both previous meetings. 8-4 Boise also won the regular season matchup by more than three TDs. The 10-2 Rebels beat UCLA back in September, which would’ve been more noteworthy three decades ago. Boise has been here before. It’s part of the routine for them. Former Florida & Mississippi St. coach Dan Mullen is in his first season at the helm in Vegas, and he might have an opportunity to build something…if he sticks around, but that’ll have to wait. Boise will be moving to the rebuilt Temu Pac 12 next year, so this is their final opportunity to win an eighth Mountain West title, and I’d be surprised if they blow it. Zach thinks it’ll be tight, but also likes Boise to emerge victorious.

My Pick: Boise St.

Zach’s Pick:  Boise St.

MAC Championship 

Western Michigan (-2.5) vs. Miami (OH)

I haven’t kept up with MACtion since my Thundering Herd left the conference two decades ago, but I remember watching some fun games back in the day. Both teams are 8-4, with both, oddly enough, righting the ship after being 0-3 out of the gate. WMU’s last defeat came at the hands of the Redhawks right before Halloween. This is a neutral site game in Detroit, kicking off at Noon on Saturday, and I expect Miami to defy the odds by once again coming out on top. Zach is pulling for Miami simply because Ben Roethlisberger went there, which sounds good to me.

My Pick: Miami (OH)

Zach’s Pick: Miami (OH)

Big 12 Championship 

Texas Tech (-13.5) vs. BYU

As much of a downer as it has been watching my Mountaineers ineptly try to compete in the Big 12, I will begrudgingly admit that the rest of the conference is (mostly) entertaining to watch. The 11-1 Cougars suffered their only loss to the 11-1 Red Raiders about a month ago. Tech’s lone perplexing defeat came at the hands of Arizona St. in the final 30 seconds of the contest. I really think it’ll be a fun game…maybe the best of the entire weekend. Tech is hoping to lock in a first round bye in the CFP, while BYU needs a win to secure a berth. I’m not bold enough to predict a winner, but do feel confident in anticipating the game will be won by single digits. Zach agrees.

My Pick: BYU

Zach’s Pick: BYU

SEC Championship

Georgia (-2.5) vs. Alabama

Oh for f*^k’s sake 😱!! There seemed to be a real opportunity for the SEC to offer something new & fresh this season, but Ole Miss, Texas A&M, and Texas all fell short, so now we’re getting this matchup for the fourth time since 2018. You have to go all the way back to 2013 to find an SEC title game with neither team. Perhaps I am in the minority, but it has become tedious. When they met near the end of September the 10-2 Tide rolled in the first half en route to a three point victory in Athens. This is a neutral site game in Atlanta, which isn’t as big of a home field advantage for the 11-1 ‘Dawgs as one might assume. I still think there are weaknesses in both teams, and neither will ultimately win the national championship, but it’ll be Georgia walking away with their sixth conference crown since the turn of the century. Zach believes coaching makes the difference, and Kirby Smart > Kalen DeBoer.

My Pick: Georgia

Zach’s Pick: Georgia

ACC Championship

Virginia (-3.5) vs. Duke

Ugh 🤦🏻‍♂️. The ACC is already the most prosaic of the “power” conferences, and they couldn’t even  treat us to a title game featuring slightly more appealing teams like Clemson, Florida St., Miami (FL), SMU, or Virginia Tech. Hell, even if UNC was involved we could poke fun at Belichick & his teenage concubine. Anyway, the Cavaliers are 10-2 and just beat the 7-5 Blue Devils a couple of weeks ago. This is a neutral site game in Charlotte, and though I think Duke will put up a better fight in the rematch, it’ll be Virginia winning their first conference championship since 1995. Zach likes Virginia to win the ACC then get beaten decisively in the CFP.

My Pick: Virginia

Zach’s Pick: Virginia

Big Ten Championship

Ohio State (-5.5) vs. Indiana 

This is the big one. #1 vs. #2 before we even get to the CFP. The winner will obviously be the top seed in the playoff, while the loser could conceivably miss out on a first round bye. Very few are questioning the credentials of the unbeaten Buckeyes, except for some who point to games against lesser opponents like Grambling & Ohio U., which is fair criticism. Conversely, despite being undefeated this year and having been a playoff team a season ago, Indiana is still perceived as a basketball school. This is the prime time game on Fox Saturday night, emanating from Indianapolis, and I would LOVE for it to be epic. An instant classic. Win or lose, I would love to watch the Hoosiers prove their doubters wrong and show everyone that they belong on this big stage. Unfortunately, I believe this Ohio St. team is head & shoulders above everyone else. They have too much talent & depth. If they are challenged at all in the postseason it’ll be because of a key injury or some other calamity. Barring that, I’d be stunned if they don’t hoist their 40th Big Ten title & tenth National Championship. In a bit of a shocker that I did NOT see coming, Zach reluctantly agrees that OSU is the best team in the country and should be heavily favored to win it all.

My Pick: Ohio St.

Zach’s Pick: Ohio St.

2023 PIGSKIN PICKS OF PROFUNDITY…WEEK 15

I sure hope this week isn’t as brutal as last, when we were both 2-5. Clearly we don’t know as much about college football as we’d prefer. At any rate, we’ve made it to the conference championship games. Playoff berths will be won & lost, while those left on the outside of that inner circle are jockeying for positions on the bowl game hierarchy. Let’s ride!!

My Season: 49-36

Zach’s Season: 40-45

New Mexico State at Liberty (-10.5)

C-USA Championship Game

The Flames won this matchup comfortably back in September and are coming in unbeaten. Unfortunately they’re a year too early to be included in the expanded playoff. The 10-3 Aggies played an extra game because they traveled to Hawaii. I don’t foresee this game being much different from the regular season meeting. Conversely, Zach likes NM St.’s dual threat QB and thinks it’ll be a close game. He has put Liberty on upset alert.

My Pick: Liberty

Zach’s Pick: New Mexico St.

Oregon (-8.5) vs. Washington

Pac-12 Championship Game (Las Vegas)

I know what I’m doing on Friday night!! Our local Christmas parade is at 6pm, but I should be home in time to fix myself a hot beverage and hunker down in front of the TV for a game with significant impact on the entire landscape. First, it is the final Pac 12 game ever, with practically every team bolting for “greener pastures” next year, which is sad. Secondly, the QB of the winning team…the Huskies’ Michael Penix Jr. or Bo Nix of the Ducks…will almost certainly become the prohibitive Heisman favorite. However, the biggest consideration here is that the winner will lock in a playoff berth. When these teams did battle in mid-October Washington scored a touchdown with a minute & a half on the clock for a dramatic victory. Since then both teams have kept on winning, but Oregon has looked more impressive. I think they take care of business and Nix wins the Heisman Trophy. Zach, on the other hand, foresees Washington winning with dramatic last minute drive, and believes the Huskies are legit National Championship contenders.

My Pick: Oregon

Zach’s Pick: Washington

Miami (OH) vs. Toledo (-8)

MAC Championship Game (Detroit)

I used to love some mid-week MACtion on ESPN, but truthfully I haven’t paid much attention for quite awhile. Since a season opening loss at Illinois the Rockets have reeled off eleven straight victories. The Red Hawks have had a very similar season except for their previous matchup against Toledo, which was a four point loss. Miami’s QB is Brett Gabbert, the younger brother of Blaine Gabbert, who was famously chosen in the first round of the NFL Draft ahead of JJ Watt and has worn more uniforms than a Village People tribute band. Anyway, I think Toledo gets a double digit win. Zach concurs.

My Pick: Toledo

Zach’s Pick: Toledo

Boise State (-3.5) at UNLV

Mountain West Championship Game

This will be the Broncos sixth appearance in the title game in the past seven years. They won two of those games. At 7-5 it’s kind of surprising they’re playing for the championship. Is the Mountain West that mid?? The 9-3 Rebels are playing in their first championship game since joining the conference in 1999, and The Vibes are telling me they’ll hoist the trophy on their home turf. Zach thinks it’ll be a shootout, with the favorites coming out on top.

My Pick: UNLV

Zach’s Pick: Boise St.

Southern Methodist at Tulane (-3.5)

AAC Championship Game

I didn’t give the Green Wave enough respect. Most outlets had them firmly entrenched in the Top 25 coming into the season after they finished 12-2 last year, but I gave that spot to UTSA (who finished this season 8-4). Tulane has duplicated their previous success and come into this contest 11-1. Meanwhile, the 10-2 Mustangs are riding an eight game winning streak. I am old enough to remember the glory days of SMU, with the Pony Express duo of Eric Dickerson & Craig James, followed by the “death penalty”, which shut down the program for a couple of years in the late 1980s and caused them to struggle for two decades. They have had some good seasons in the past ten years, but a conference championship would certainly put a bow on their comeback story. Zach opines that Tulane’s defense is going to need to step up and stop the high octane SMU offense, and he doesn’t think that will happen.

My Pick: SMU

Zach’s Pick: SMU

Appalachian State at Troy (-7)

Sun Belt Championship Game

When these teams met during the 2022 regular season the Mountaineers came away with a close win. The Trojans have won 10+ for the second consecutive year, while App. St. is 8-4 but have won five games in a row. I smell an upset brewing, so I’m leaning toward the underdogs. Zach thinks it could be the best game of the weekend, and he believes the visitors are a hotter team right now.

My Pick: Appalachian St.

Zach’s Pick: Appalachian St.

Texas (-11.5) vs. Oklahoma State

Big 12 Championship Game (Dallas)

The 9-3 Cowboys find themselves in this spot because they defeated in-state rival Oklahoma a few weeks ago, while the Longhorns lost to the Sooners in October but have beaten everyone else, including Alabama in the season opener, which could be weighed heavily by the playoff committee. Do “style points” factor into the “body of work”?? I think it does matter, which means the Longhorns will be left out in the cold if they don’t cover, even if they win. I would be surprised by an OK St. victory, but not shocked if they keep it close. That being said, I think Texas takes care of business. Zach doesn’t think the Cowboys have anything to lose so they’ll leave everything out on the field. He believes it’ll be competitive for three quarters, but ultimately Texas will pull away late.

My Pick: Texas

Zach’s Pick: Texas

Georgia (-4.5) vs. Alabama

SEC Championship Game (Atlanta)

Depending on which scenario shakes out, one or the other, neither, or both teams could be playoff bound. Could the unbeaten Bulldogs fall short in this game but still get the 4th playoff seed?? Perhaps. Conversely, the Tide almost certainly needs to win, and that season opening loss to Texas has to be important because invalidating head-to-head regular season results would be a bad look. ‘Bama leads the all-time series 42-26-4, but I think the favorites make the CFP Committee’s job a skosh easier with a 7-10 point triumph. Conversely, Zach has always been a huge Nick Saban fan. He has stated all season that Georgia isn’t as good as they’ve been the past few years, and he believes their luck will run out.

My Pick: Georgia

Zach’s Pick: Alabama

Florida State (-5.5) vs. Louisville

ACC Championship Game

It might be the least attractive title game of them all going in, but maybe it’ll be more entertaining than it looks on paper. The undefeated Seminoles aren’t guaranteed a playoff berth even with a win, which is precisely why many thought expanding the field was necessary. The 10-2 Cardinals aren’t playoff contenders even with a victory, but a conference title and a New Year’s bowl game are worthy goals. Thus far Florida St. is doing just fine with a backup QB, so I think they win this game but get left out of the playoff. Zach thinks Florida St. will do just enough to win, and doesn’t see how they could be left out of the playoff in that case.

My Pick: Florida St.

Zach’s Pick: Florida St.

Michigan (-23) vs. Iowa

Big Ten Championship Game (Indianapolis)

I would be absolutely stunned if Iowa wins the game. At 10-2 they’ve certainly had a nice season and will receive a well deserved & lucrative bowl bid, but the unbeaten Wolverines are on another level. A win gets Michigan into the playoff, while a loss might not eliminate them completely, although too many unrealistic dominos would need to fall in that situation. I don’t believe it will be an issue though. The only questions are 1) will there be a hangover from the Ohio St. game, and 2) with bigger fish to fry could they possibly ease up in the second half, winning the game by only 15-20 points?? I’m going with “no” to both. Zach is playing it closer to the vest than me, taking Michigan to win but not to cover the huge spread.

My Pick: Michigan

Zach’s Pick: Iowa

2022 PIGSKIN PICKS OF PROFUNDITY…WEEK 15

Do you want the good news or the bad news?? I suppose it doesn’t really matter, as it’s all about perspective. We were both a dismal 3-7 last week, meaning Zach maintains the season lead. It also means that I’ve fallen below .500, which doesn’t make me happy. We’re ending the college football portion of our programming with Championship Weekend, with some games occurring Friday night & some on Saturday. I am not sure how much football I’ll get to watch because this weekend begins a pretty full dance card for the entirety of December, but in contrast to being laid up in a medical facility for the Christmas season I can’t complain. 

My Season: 41-43

Zach’s Season: 43-41

C-USA Championship 

North Texas at Texas-San Antonio (-8.5)

With all due respect, I am glad my Marshall Thundering Herd escaped Conference USA, which is basically a starter pack league. That being said, I’m kind of digging this game because the teams involved have cool names. I suppose I am easily entertained. I cannot opine with any level of confidence except to say that the Roadrunners won the title a year ago & have the home field advantage. By the time this game ends on Friday night (it’s on the CBS Sports Network in case you’re interested) I expect that they will have defended their championship and overcome the Mean Green. Zach likes UTSA’s offense in a blowout that’ll be all but over by halftime. 

My Pick: UTSA 

Z’s Pick: UTSA

PAC 12 Championship

Utah vs. Southern California (-3)

It’s pretty simple for the Trojans…win & they’re in The Playoff. One would think that’d be plenty of motivation. However, don’t count out the 9-3 Utes. Granted, they backed into this game via a weird tiebreaker system despite the fact they lost to Oregon a few weeks ago, but we cannot overlook the fact that Utah actually defeated the Trojans in mid-October. That game was decided by a gutsy 2 point conversion in the final minute, and it should be noted that it was in Salt Lake City. Can they do it again on a neutral field?? I’m on the fence to be quite honest, but enjoy playoff controversy and generally lean toward the underdog, so I’m pulling for an upset, whether it’s a smart move or not. Zach predicts a shootout, but thinks USC quarterback & Heisman front runner Caleb Williams is a difference maker. 

My Pick: Utah 

Z’s Pick: USC 

MAC Championship 

Toledo (-1.5) vs. Ohio

There was a brief period of time when I occasionally enjoyed some MACtion when they’d have midweek games on ESPN, but it’s been awhile. This is a neutral site game in Detroit, so there’s no home field advantage. The 7-5 Rockets have lost their last two games, while the 9-3 Bobcats have won seven straight. It’s a Noon kickoff Saturday on ESPN, which might hook some viewers tuned into Gameday, including me. Momentum is obviously leaning toward Ohio, while the oddsmakers like Toledo. When in doubt follow the money, right?? Zach has issues with the entire state of Ohio, but he’s picking the Bobcats in a coin flip. 

My Pick: Toledo 

Z’s Pick: Ohio 

Sun Belt Championship 

Coastal Carolina at Troy (-10.5)

It ticks me off that the Herd aren’t in this game. How in the hell does a team upset Notre Dame in South Bend, then lose to Bowling Green?? My guys were also beaten by the 10-2 Trojans, who come into this game as double digit favorites on a nine game winning streak. The Chanticleers are 9-2 themselves, but could be without the services of starting QB Grayson McCall, who has been suffering from an ankle injury. Coastal got trucked by James Madison last week without McCall, so the prognosis isn’t good if he’s out again. They dominated time of possession in that game with over 40 minutes, but punted nine times & had two turnovers. Zach believes Coastal will be fired up after last week’s stunning loss, and he foresees a rebound win. 

My Pick: Troy 

Z’s Pick: Coastal Carolina 

Mountain West Championship

Fresno State at Boise State (-3.5)

We haven’t talked much about the Broncos this year, but they’re 9-3 on a three game winning streak. The 8-4 Bulldogs started slow but have won seven games in a row. It’s a 4pm Saturday kickoff on Fox, and unfortunately I probably won’t get to see the 4th quarter. Will the contest be decided by then?? Probably not, but I like Boise to come out on top on the infamous blue turf. Zach thinks it’ll be a low scoring defensive struggle, with the home team getting a close victory. 

My Pick: Boise St.

Z’s Pick: Boise St. 

AAC Championship 

Central Florida at Tulane (-3)

The American is another conference that doesn’t hold their title game on a neutral field, which makes it feel like a second rate rematch. The 10-2 Green Wave lost to the 9-3 Knights just a few weeks ago. That game was also in New Orleans, so I don’t know why anyone would expect a different outcome this time. Zach is expecting another competitive contest, but also thinks the outcome will be the same. 

My Pick: UCF 

Z’s Pick: UCF 

Big Ten Championship 

Purdue vs. Michigan (-16.5)

I’m not sure what to think about this one. The undefeated Wolverines are clearly a better team and will secure a spot in The Playoff with a victory. Even with a loss…unless they are inexplicably blown out…I expect Michigan is in the Final Four, although that’s certainly not a guarantee. Having said that, Indianapolis is only an hour away from the 8-4 Boilermakers’ home base, so they might enjoy a slight “home field” advantage. Michigan put so much into defeating Ohio St. last week that this becomes a classic trap game. Throw in the questionable health of RB Blake Corum & a two TDs+ point spread, and all the sudden the picture becomes somewhat murky. Of course the Wolverines rushing attack looked just fine a week ago, with sophomore Donovan Edwards averaging over 9 yards/carry on his way to over 200 yards & two touchdowns. Still, the fact is that the favorites just need to win…they don’t need to win big. So what if they’re up 15-20 points in the fourth quarter & the defense is playing well?? Could they take their foot off the gas just enough for Purdue to cover?? That’s what I’m predicting. Zach concurs. 

My Pick: Purdue

Z’s Pick: Purdue 

ACC Championship 

Clemson (-7.5) vs. North Carolina 

I knew it. When ranking Clemson 11th in my preseason poll I said “will they be back in the playoff picture this season…I don’t think so….the only shot Clemson has is to go undefeated in convincing fashion & lay a smackdown on Notre Dame in South Bend”. Instead, the Tigers lost by three TDs to the Irish, were narrowly defeated by in-state rival South Carolina last weekend, and sit 9th in the ranking, just about where I predicted. But…are the 9-3 Tar Heels worthy competition?? Charlotte is a truly neutral site & both teams are coming off losses, so essentially it comes down to coaching & talent. As much as I respect UNC coach Mack Brown I believe Dabo Swinney is better right now, and he has superior talent. Zach likes Carolina to keep it close & atleast cover in a high scoring shootout.

My Pick: Clemson 

Z’s Pick: North Carolina 

Big 12 Championship 

Kansas State vs. Texas Christian (-2.5)

The unbeaten Horned Frogs have more riding on this game than perhaps any other team playing this weekend. If they win they’ll be in The Playoff, but I am not at all confident in their chances of being amongst the Final Four with a loss. Let’s face it…the powers-that-be are chomping at the bit for an excuse to insert Ohio St. or Alabama back into the mix. Meanwhile, with everyone’s attention focused on Fort Worth, TX, the 9-3 Wildcats have quietly put together a pretty solid season. I think this will be a hell of a game for awhile. Much like Michigan, TCU just has to win…they don’t need to blow away the competition. The difference is the points are negligible in this one. When the two teams met back in October TCU score a comfortable ten point victory. It might be a little tighter this time, but I expect a similar outcome. Zach agrees. 

My Pick: TCU

Z’s Pick: TCU

SEC Championship

LSU vs. Georgia (-17.5)

LSU is a confusing team. They began the season with a surprising loss to Florida St. in New Orleans, then won a few games before getting demolished by Tennessee at home. They beat Alabama, but finished the season losing to a Texas A&M team that couldn’t even achieve bowl eligibility. Conversely, the #1 Bulldogs have cruised thru an unblemished schedule, unless you want to hold an early October scrape against Missouri that wasn’t decided until late in the 4th quarter against them. They call this a “neutral” field, but I’m pretty sure most of the 75k people on hand in Atlanta will be leaning a certain way. However, a couple of things must be considered. First, Georgia has played in five SEC title games since 2017 and won only once. Secondly, they are going to The Playoff no matter what, it’s just a matter of seeding. All things considered, I believe the points are simply too much. I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright Bayou Bengals victory, but the more likely scenario is that LSU plays balls to the wall, Georgia rests most of their starters in the second half, and the favorites end up winning by less than ten points. Conversely, Zach doesn’t believe it’ll be any different than most other games on Georgia’s schedule, and thinks they’ll win handily. 

My Pick: LSU

Z’s Pick: Georgia 

2022 PIGSKIN PICKS OF PROFUNDITY…WEEK 12

It’s been beautiful here in The Mountain State lately. 75 degree days. Lots of sunshine. Unfortunately that’s about to change, with temps in the 40s & several rainy days in the forecast thru Thanksgiving. I suppose some would call that football weather. Speaking of which, yours truly has regained the season lead after going 3-2 last week. Zach got roughed up a bit at 1-4. Can y’all believe we’re both still above .500?? To be honest doing these picks has been one of the saving graces of the season thus far. All my favorite teams…Marshall, WVU, the Steelers…have been disappointing. All five of my fantasy teams are terrible. Despite all of it though, I still enjoy curling up on Saturdays & watching ball games from Noon til after midnight, then spending seven hours on Sunday watching RedZone. It’s not the most exciting life, but trust me when I say that after all of the things I’ve gone thru those simple pleasures mean so damn much. 

My Season: 36-28

Zach’s Season: 34-30

Central Florida at Tulane (-2)

In case y’all hadn’t noticed, the Green Wave are 8-1, have won 5 games in a row, sit atop the AAC, & are firmly ensconced in the Top 25. That being said, they can’t ease off the gas with Cincinnati & UCF hot on their heels. The Knights are hanging on in the polls themselves & have won their last two games. Everybody knows I tend to be a big home field guy, but I just don’t see UCF being all that intimidated. I think they march right into New Orleans and go home with a victory. Zach concurs.

My Pick: UCF

Z’s Pick: UCF

TCU at Texas (-7)

The undefeated Horned Frogs are in the playoff discussion, but they need to solidify their position by beating a big name program. Yes, I know…they defeated Oklahoma last month, but it’s not enough. If it comes down to unbeaten TCU or a one-loss SEC/Big Ten team for that final playoff spot I don’t trust the committee to do the right thing anyway, but any kind of loss will be the end of the road. Meanwhile, the Longhorns feel like they’re in a holding pattern until Arch Manning arrives on campus, but they do have a legit opportunity to sneak into the Big 12 title game, which would likely be a rematch with TCU. It’s a tall task for the visitors, and I know where the smart money is going, but sometimes I’m not very smart. Zach has concerns about TCU’s defense, but believes it’ll be closer than a touchdown no matter who wins. 

My Pick: TCU

Z’s Pick: TCU

Washington at Oregon (-13.5)

Despite a season opening beatdown at the hands of the Georgia Bulldogs the Ducks have fought back and can see a legit path to the playoff. The Huskies aren’t too shabby themselves, and probably believe they have a shot to play in the conference title game. There’s too much at stake for Oregon to lay an egg on their home turf, but can they cover the points?? Go big or go home, right?? I think the favorites are peaking at the right time & will score a huge win. Zach sees big things ahead for Oregon QB Bo Nix. 

My Pick: Oregon 

Z’s Pick: Oregon 

LA Chargers at San Francisco (-7)

The Niners pulled the trigger on an impactful trade for RB Christian McCaffrey, but still find themselves behind red hot Seattle in the NFC West. The Chargers are battling the KC Chiefs in their division, and last weekend found a way to win without receivers Keenan Allen & Mike Williams. Can they do it again if necessary?? Honestly, I feel like the Bolts are a better team, but with their injuries & the fact that ‘Frisco is really in a must-win situation in order to keep pace with the Seahawks, I’ve got to lean toward the home team. Zach doesn’t think their banged up receiving corps will hurt the Chargers as long as they utilize RB Austin Ekeler to bludgeon the 49ers defense. 

My Pick: San Francisco 

Z’s Pick: LA Chargers 

Washington at Philadelphia (-11)

The Eagles are undefeated & have to be the overwhelming favorite to win the division. The Commanders are below .500 & playing on the road. The Philly crowd will almost certainly show up & show out for Monday Night Football, and I’d be stunned if their team disappointed them. The question is can they cover the points?? These teams played in Washington at the end of September, with the Eagles winning 24-8, and I believe we’ll see similar results this time. Zach thinks Philly has the right stuff to remain unbeaten, but feels like the points are too much & the visitors will stay respectably close.

My Pick: Philadelphia 

Z’s Pick: Washington