2024 Pigskin Picks of Profundity…Week 10

Ohio State (-4) at Penn State

The 6-1 Buckeyes are ranked 4th in the nation with only a one point loss to #1 Oregon staining their record. The unbeaten Nittany Lions are 3rd in the polls and have the home field. I think Penn St.’s schedule has been a bit more challenging, so they have earned respect from everyone except, it seems, the oddsmakers. Will they use that as fuel?? Perhaps. However, at the end of the day I believe the visiting favorites are probably just a little faster & more athletic. It’ll be tight, but I give a touchdown edge to Ohio St. Zach is expecting a low scoring defensive struggle and is…surprisingly…picking Ohio St. 

My Pick: Ohio St.

Zach’s Pick: Ohio St.

Georgia (-16.5) vs. Florida

The NCAA schedule is rather prosaic this week, and we try to avoid games involving teams we just dealt with last week, so this mid-season “rivalry” game makes the cut. I put it like that because it hasn’t been much of a rivalry in recent years, with the 6-1 Bulldogs winning six of the last seven meetings. Meanwhile, the 4-3 Gators seem to be spinning their wheels until the powers-that-be pull the trigger on firing head coach Billy Napier. It’s a neutral site contest in Jacksonville, and I have no doubt Georgia will win, but can they cover?? Well, in those six games they won in the past seven years, their average margin of victory is 22 points…so I’m riding with the ‘Dawgs. Zach has observed improvement from Florida, but also feels as if Georgia is really hitting their stride.

My Pick: Georgia 

Zach’s Pick: Georgia

Denver at Baltimore (-9.5)

I freakin’ hate the Ravens, but I’ll give them credit for building a good team. They aren’t hesitant to pull the trigger on a trade or sign an impact free agent. As a die hard Steelers fan I can admit that my team is leading the division thru smoke & mirrors, which probably isn’t sustainable thru an entire season. The task at hand for Baltimore is taking care of business at home against the 5-3 Broncos, who have already been way more successful than I thought they’d be. I’d be pleasantly surprised if Denver pulled off a huge upset, but will settle for moderately satisfied if they keep it close. Zach concurs.

My Pick: Denver

Zach’s Pick: Denver

Miami at Buffalo (-5.5)

The 6-2 Bills have a stranglehold on the AFC East, while the 2-5 Dolphins are struggling to equal last season’s playoff qualifying success. I don’t know that Buffalo is a Super Bowl caliber team, but they are certainly capable of easily handling business at home. Zach agrees.

My Pick: Buffalo

Zach’s Pick: Buffalo

Detroit at Green Bay (-1)

Holy cow, the 6-1 Lions opened up a can o’ whoopass on the Titans last week. Meanwhile, the 6-2 Packers are on a four game win streak and sit only a half game behind Detroit in the division. We’ve been doing this long enough to know that the de facto home field bump in the NFL is three points, so the fact that Green Bay is only favored by one is a nod to Detroit’s success…but it still feels disrespectful to the visitors. I believe they’ll see it that way and respond accordingly. Zach is looking forward to the game and believes in Lions coach Dan Campbell.

My Pick: Detroit

Zach’s Pick: Detroit 

Hall of Influence – Class 5

In 2009 I created the Hall of Influence to honor those who have made some level of positive impact on my life. We last inducted new members into this exclusive club eight years ago. Not only has my life been altered in significant ways during that time, but the world at large has changed dramatically. This time of year I tend to be in sports mode and don’t contribute much else to The Manofesto. Actually, if I’m being totally honest, I haven’t been as productive here as I should’ve been for quite awhile. There are multiple reasons for that, but we don’t wallow in The Manoverse. I believe the best way to reverse a negative trend is with some positivity, so we shall begin that process by welcoming five new members to our HoI.

Ray Bradbury

In the mid 1980s there was an anthology series on television called The Ray Bradbury Theater, but I never watched it. I knew nothing about Bradbury and the show didn’t sound like my cup o’ tea. In hindsight I realize how much our public schools fall short, because why in the hell had I barely heard of the man, much less read any of his stories?? I must give all the credit to my brother from another mother, The Owl, for introducing me to Bradbury in college. He let me borrow his copy of The Martian Chronicles, and my eyes were opened. Perhaps if I’d become acquainted with Ray Bradbury during my childhood not only would I have read all of the amazing tales, but I might have been inspired to follow his path as a writer, which began when he sold his first story at the age of 18. In a career that spanned seven decades Bradbury published more than two dozen novels and 600+ short stories, an eclectic smorgasbord of mystery, sci-fi, horror, and fantasy. He dabbled a bit in social commentary, but not in the heavy handed way we perceive that notion today. Bradbury’s purpose wasn’t to push an agenda or indoctrination of the masses. Instead, he aimed to make the reader think and allow us to feel. His works aren’t just meaningless frivolity, with contemplative outlooks on technology, nostalgia, and humanity. I’d be lying if I told you I’ve digested everything the man wrote, but in a strange way that makes me happy, because I can gleefully anticipate much enjoyment of the stories I have yet to read.

Myron Cope

We don’t have any professional sports franchises here in West Virginia, so a large portion of the population where I am located grow up as fans of the Pittsburgh teams. Back in the day my cable system had all three local television stations in that market, and Myron Cope was a familiar face on WTAE Channel 4. He also did color commentary on Steelers radio broadcasts, and trust me when I say that “color commentary” is a vast understatement when it comes to Myron Cope. He had his own vernacular, which survives to this day, atleast amongst Steelers fans and Pittsburgh natives, along with a unique voice and an amusing twitchiness, as if he consumed way too much coffee on a daily basis. Think…Gilbert Gottfried, only genuine and not a comedic facade. Perhaps his best known contribution to the world is The Terrible Towel, a cost effective way for fans to show support of the team, conceived by Cope in 1975. Though his career began in the 1950s and included writing for the Saturday Evening Post and Sports Illustrated, Myron Cope’s rise in popularity coincided with the Pittsburgh Steelers becoming one of the cornerstone franchises of the NFL during the latter half of the 1970s, when I was just a little boy. He is an indelible part of my childhood.

Johnny Carson & David Letterman

I have written about Carson and Lettermen elsewhere on this site, so I will refrain from being redundant. Suffice to say that late night television was never better than when these two men were essential entertainment for night owls. Their humor was not politically motivated or divisive. They focused on making everyone laugh. My father loved watching Johnny’s monologue and his bits with The Mighty Carson Art Players. Irreverent smartass Letterman was a huge part of the comedy landscape of my youth. Both were great interviewers whose guests were a potpourri of the requisite Hollywood stars promoting their latest project, funny comedians (these shows were particularly important launch pads for up n’ comers), and out of left field personalities…average folks who’d done something cool or had an unusual talent. Carson was especially funny interacting with children & old folks, while Lettermen had his finger on the pulse of the music scene and spun comedy gold from random people on the street. The current late night landscape pales in comparison, with every host being extremely poor wannabes that will never live up to the examples of Johnny & Dave.

 

Alex Trebek

My Grandma Pigott loved game shows. Whenever she was around we’d be sure to get a healthy dose of The Price is Right, Press Your Luck, Card Sharks, Family Feud, Name That Tune, Wheel of Fortune, et al. While many of those programs are charming in their own way, as I grew older Jeopardy! became my jam. Each game show is different. Some require luck. Some require skill. Jeopardy! requires knowledge & intelligence. Watching a convenience store clerk from Podunk BFE seize an opportunity to walk away with a brand new car or a cruise to Puerto Vallarta is fun, but watching an already successful person earn thousands of dollars because they are smart and know things is inspiring. At the helm for nearly forty years of the show’s run was Alex Trebek, whose low key demeanor & mellifluous tone added gravitas to the production (hilariously parodied by Will Ferrell on SNL). He was a key element without taking the focus away from contestants or the game itself. Sadly, Trebek died about four years ago, and though Jeopardy! continues on it’s just not the same. Thank you Alex Trebek for decades of memories. 

Gene Siskel &
Roger Ebert

Young people nowadays will never understand the influence that two nerdy Chicago film critics had on pop culture in the 80s & 90s. In the 21st century people are too arrogant & apathetic to give a rat’s ass what anyone else thinks, and if they are so inclined to seek information about movies they’re on the fence about spending money to see all they need to do is hop online where there is a plethora of opinions from countless sources. Four decades ago we didn’t have Rotten Tomatoes or the blogosphere. If we decided to skip seeing a movie it wouldn’t be on home video or HBO for atleast a year, unlike now, when we have streaming services providing access to movies that might actually still be playing at the local cineplex. Gene Siskel & Roger Ebert were writers employed by rival Chicago newspapers when someone got the idea to put them on television. Perhaps they were the first frenemies, although their contentious professional relationship felt more like it was played up in front of the camera, disguising real life deep respect & kinship. A double thumbs up/down could make or break a film, an idea that seems quaint years later, but what really came thru all the biting commentary & good-natured jabs at each other was a shared love of cinema, conveying the idea that sitting down with a bowl of popcorn & a beverage to watch a movie is a perfectly legitimate and maybe even enlightening way to spend one’s free time.

2024 PIGSKIN PICKS OF PROFUNDITY…WEEK 9

We kept our head above water doing bonus picks a week ago, with point spreads playing a key role in flipping several outcomes one way or the other. I’m glad not to be a gambler because I can imagine having a half point ruin your day could be rather frustrating. At any rate, I extended my season lead by one game, while Zach is one game closer to getting back to the .500 mark. We are each in the same general ballpark as this identical point a year ago.

My Season: 28-24

Zach’s Season: 24-28

Notre Dame (-12.5) vs. Navy

Don’t look now, but two of the service academy football teams are undefeated (sorry about your damn luck Air Force). Party like it’s 1946!! In the grand scheme of things that probably doesn’t mean much since it is doubtful they’d be considered playoff worthy, but it could make the Army-Navy game more consequential than it’s been in quite some time. We’re several weeks away from that though. Meanwhile, the 6-1 Irish are praying that an inexplicable September loss to Northern Illinois doesn’t torpedo their playoff aspirations. This rivalry dates back to 1927, with Notre Dame winning 80 of the 96 meetings. The Midshipmen last won in 2016. For some strange reason the game is being played at the NFL home of the Jets & Giants in New Jersey, meaning it’ll be the most entertaining contest those fans have seen all year. As much as I’d love to predict an upset I cannot imagine Navy overcoming what I assume is a notable disadvantage in size, speed, and athleticism. I’d love to be wrong. Zach believes Notre Dame being overrated is business as usual, and he thinks Navy can hang with them by running the ball and controlling the clock. 

My Pick: Notre Dame

Zach’s Pick: Navy 

Kansas at Kansas State (-9.5)

They call it the Sunflower Showdown, with the victor taking possession of the Governor’s Cup. It is actually the 4th longest active rivalry in college football (thanks realignment 🙄), with the Jayhawks leading the overall series despite the fact that the Wildcats have won the last 15 meetings dating back to 2009. State is 6-1 and has the home field, while 2-5 KU has to be disappointed with how things have gone thus far after winning nine games a season ago. I predicted K-St. would compete for the conference title, and they’re on pace to be in that mix. Zach doesn’t feel like it’ll be particularly close.

My Pick: Kansas St.

Zach’s Pick: Kansas St.

Illinois at Oregon (-21.5)

The 6-1 Illini announced their presence with authority last weekend, beating Michigan by two touchdowns. Not to be outdone, the undefeated Ducks sit atop the rankings with victories over Ohio St. and…well, okay, they beat Ohio St. and share the Big Ten lead with Indiana. I’d be surprised if Oregon lost at home, but the points concern me. Is Illinois for real?? They don’t have to win the game to gain that legitimacy, but they do need to be competitive. I don’t feel strongly either way, but I’ll roll the dice on the visitors keeping things respectable. Zach has been impressed by Illinois and agrees it won’t be as easy for Oregon as some might assume.

My Pick: Illinois 

Zach’s Pick: Illinois 

Chicago (-2.5) at Washington

It’s supposed to be a marquee matchup pitting #1 overall pick Caleb Williams against #2 overall pick Jayden Daniels, but the Commanders’ rookie QB suffered a rib injury last weekend so his status for this game remains a bit murky. Daniels, to the surprise of no one who pays attention, has been the more exciting & impactful signal caller thus far, leading his team to a 5-2 record and the NFC East lead. Williams has the Bears looking much improved at 4-2, though they have the misfortune of playing in the NFL’s most competitive division. I’m not a Vegas insider, but it isn’t difficult to figure out that the points are all about Daniels’ questionable status. If he plays and is unencumbered by the injury Washington is a clear favorite at home, but if backup QB Marcus Mariota is under center then things obviously tilt toward Chicago. Can Jayden Daniels channel 1997 NBA Finals Michael Jordan?? Holy schneikes that’d be freakin’ cool. Zach has always been more complimentary to Williams than I’ve been, but he likes the Commanders to score the slight upset.

My Pick: Washington

Zach’s Pick: Washington 

Dallas at San Francisco (-4.5)

The cool thing about this rivalry is that it isn’t completely about nostalgia. Oh sure, those of us old enough to remember legendary names like Jerry Rice, Michael Irvin, Steve Young, Troy Aikman, Jimmy Johnson, Emmitt Smith, Brent Jones, and Deion Sanders in their heyday become a bit sentimental about the classic skirmishes of the past, but the matchup always feels just as relevant as it did decades ago. The 3-4, injury plagued Niners have struggled more than anyone could’ve ever anticipated a few months ago but sit just one game out of the division lead. It’s a similar story for the 3-3 Cowboys, who are currently in third place in the NFC East. They are coming out of their bye week though, which probably offsets Frisco’s home field. It’s the Sunday night game on NBC and will likely get good ratings. I am somewhat surprised that Dallas isn’t favored even though they’re on the road, but watching Jerry Jones get ridiculed by the sports media is delightfully hilarious. Zach  doesn’t have a positive impression of either team, but he thinks San Francisco sucks less than the Cowboys right now.

My Pick: San Francisco 

Zach’s Pick: San Francisco 

2024 Pigskin Picks of Profundity…Week 8

It must be noted that the plan to do bonus picks was determined by the impressive schedule (both college & pro), and isn’t a case of chasing wins after a disastrous week. Zach was 3-2 but still finds himself under .500 for the year, while I am barely staying above that mark after abysmal 1-4 results last weekend. College football in particular has been wild thus far, and the expanded playoff field might not be as predictable as I assumed it’d be.

My Season: 22-21

Zach’s Season: 19-24

Oklahoma State at BYU (-8.5)

The 3-3 Cowboys are winless in Big 12 action, and my lofty preseason opinion of them has been proven faulty. Conversely, the unbeaten Cougars have acclimated to the conference just fine and sit in the driver’s seat for an opportunity to play for the Big 12 title and receive a playoff berth. Lots of things can change in the second half of the season though. Does that shift begin now?? I don’t think so. It’s a Friday night game in Provo and the home favorites will be eager to show out on the national stage. Zach concurs.

My Pick: BYU

Zach’s Pick: BYU

Nebraska at Indiana (-6) 

My younger nephew Noah has been singing the praises of Indiana all season, with good reason. The Hoosiers have always been known for basketball, while their football program has been a Big Ten doormat. They come into this game undefeated with an opportunity to announce their arrival with authority against an old school traditional powerhouse. The 5-1 Cornhuskers will put up a damn good fight, but in the end I believe the favorites will defend their home turf. Zach still needs to see more from Indiana and believes they haven’t really been tested yet. He sees Nebraska as inconsistent though and likes the Hoosier defense to lead their team to victory.

My Pick: Indiana

Zach’s Pick: Indiana 

LSU (-3) at Arkansas

It could be the sleeper game of the entire weekend. The Bayou Bengals have rattled off five straight victories after a season opening loss to USC that seems worse now than it did a month & a half ago. Meanwhile, the Razorbacks are 4-2 but could easily be undefeated. Can they muster consecutive wins over Top 10 opponents?? I give them a chance with the home field, but ultimately I believe LSU finds a way to continue their momentum. Zach thinks Arkansas will fight until the end, but likes LSU quarterback Garrett Nussmeier to give his team a slight edge. 

My Pick: LSU

Zach’s Pick: LSU

Georgia at Texas (-3.5)

Hey look…it’s this week’s edition of The Biggest Greatest Most Important Game EVER. The problem with that narrative is the Bulldogs have already lost to Alabama, who then lost to Vanderbilt. Conversely, while Georgia is fighting to hold onto their SEC title & playoff hopes, the undefeated Longhorns sit atop the college football world and likely view this as their last remaining obstacle to a conference championship & first round playoff bye. I’d be stunned if they screwed that up at home. Zach views Texas as the most complete team in the country. He won’t be surprised if we see the battle spill into overtime, but likes Texas to eventually outlast their opponents.

My Pick: Texas

Zach’s Pick: Texas

New England vs. Jacksonville (-6)

Apparently the NFL plays in Europe every week now. Kickoff from Wembley Stadium in London is at 9:30am Sunday morning for us, and since both teams are 1-5 it’s hardly worth skipping church or getting out of bed to watch. Not only was I way wrong about the Jags, but QB Trevor Lawrence has turned into Just Another Quarterback instead of the perennial Pro Bowl, multiple Lombardi winning, future Hall of Famer many projected he’d become when he entered the league four years ago. He’s still only 25 years old, so he can turn things around, although it feels like he’ll need to go elsewhere for that to happen. As for the Patriots, we already know that their glory days left town with Brady & Belichick, and I have zero sympathy for the organization. I foresee a forgettable game that no one will really pay much attention to, with Jacksonville figuring out a way to get it done. Zach is impressed with rookie QB Drake Maye so he’s riding with New England in OG England.

My Pick: Jacksonville 

Zach’s Pick: New England 

Cincinnati (-4.5) at Cleveland

The Battle of Ohio is always mildly amusing. I told y’all that the preseason hype for the Browns was BS, and they’ve proven me right. At 1-5 they’re closer to the top pick in the next draft than a playoff berth. The 2-4 Bengals aren’t much better, which kind of surprises me. It’ll probably be closer than it should be, but I believe, despite their rough start, Cincy is clearly a better team. Zach thinks the Bengals are figuring things out and the turnaround has begun.

My Pick: Cincinnati

Zach’s Pick: Cincinnati 

Houston at Green Bay (-2.5)

I’m low key excited about the matchup. Injuries have played havoc with both the 4-2 Packers and the 5-1 Texans, but Houston currently leads their division while Green Bay is battling in perhaps the most competitive division in the NFL. If this game was being played a month from now I’d lean toward a huge home field advantage for The Pack, but I don’t think the tundra is frozen quite yet at Lambeau, which means we could see a mild upset. Zach thinks Green Bay’s defense might be a weak link.

My Pick: Houston 

Zach’s Pick: Houston 

Detroit at Minnesota (-1.5)

How will the loss of defensive end Aidan Hutchinson to a season ending broken leg affect the 4-1 Lions?? While I don’t think it completely torpedoes their season, it undoubtedly impacts their status as a Super Bowl contender. Conversely, the unbeaten Vikings have taken everybody by surprise. The resurgence of QB Sam Darnold has been remarkable. It might be the game of the day on Sunday, and despite the fact that Hutchinson’s loss is huge, my vibe is that Detroit finds a way to overcome. Sorry Minnesota…no one goes undefeated in the NFL. Zach thinks coaching makes the difference and he gives that advantage to Detroit.

My Pick: Detroit 

Zach’s Pick: Detroit

LA Chargers at Arizona (-1)

The NFC West is up for grabs thanks to Frisco’s shocking mediocrity, and the 2-4 Cards are in the conversation after upsets of the 49ers & Rams. Meanwhile, the Chargers are 3-2 and hoping to remain in wildcard contention since chasing down the KC Chiefs seems unlikely. This is the Monday night game, but I’m not as pumped about that as I should be. Arizona hasn’t convinced me yet and I don’t think they’ll start now. I told you that Jim Harbaugh would transform the Chargers into a playoff contender, and I believe we’ll see evidence of that this week. Zach agrees. 

My Pick: LA Chargers  

Zach’s Pick: LA Chargers

2024 Pigskin Picks of Profundity…Week 7

While I appreciate Thursday night games (more than players do for sure) I must admit that picking them is somewhat burdensome, forcing me to get this ditty published before kickoff. I know…First World problems, right?? Anyway, neither of us did well last week, so we’ll just move on. I am keeping one eye on the baseball playoffs, but the nagging feeling that we’re headed for a Dodgers-Yankees World Series won’t go away, so I am thankful for football.

My Season: 21-17

Zach’s Season: 16-22

Texas (-14.5) vs. Oklahoma

The Red River Shootout moves to the SEC, with the unbeaten Longhorns entering the fray as the new #1 team in the country. This is a neutral site game in Dallas, with the 4-1 Sooners as significant underdogs despite the fact that the rivalry has tilted slightly in their direction in the past 15 years. As a fan I’d love to see an exciting, intense, competitive battle, but I just don’t believe it will live up to the usual hype. Texas is a legit championship contender, while Oklahoma probably won’t finish the season in the Top 25. Zach sees Texas as the most complete team in college football and doesn’t think Oklahoma’s defense has what it takes to stop them.

My Pick: Texas

Zach’s Pick: Texas

Florida at Tennessee (-15)

The best part of college football might be the longstanding rivalries, but sometimes it just so happens that one team is ascending while their opponent is in a decline. Sure, the 4-1 Vols were upset by Arkansas last week, but unlike previous years their season isn’t torpedoed by one loss. They remain strong playoff contenders. Conversely, the 3-2 Gators just want to keep their head above water. Head coach Billy Napier is still gainfully employed at the moment, but his seat is still pretty hot. Rockytop will be en fuego, as their team has lost 17 out of the last 20 meetings but now they smell blood. I foresee an epic beatdown. Zach concurs.

My Pick: Tennessee

Zach’s Pick: Tennessee

Ohio State (-4) at Oregon

So this is now a…*checks notes*…Big Ten battle. Realignment is wild. At any rate, both teams are undefeated and ranked in the Top 5, so there are huge implications at stake. I don’t doubt that it’ll  be the best game of the day, and the fact that it’s happening in the cozy confines of Eugene adds an element of intrigue. There is part of me that would love to call for the upset because that’s just how I roll. However, at the end of the day I think the Buckeyes are a bit deeper and probably better in the trenches, which means they’ll take control of the game in the 4th quarter. Zach begrudgingly admits that Ohio St. is a good team because they have enough money to buy all of that talent, but he just cannot bring himself to pick them.

My Pick: Ohio St.

Zach’s Pick: Oregon

San Francisco (-3) at Seattle

This is the Thursday game on Amazon, and I am anticipating an epic slobberknocker. Without RB Christian McCaffrey the 2-3 Niners have struggled. I thought they’d dominate the division and be a strong Super Bowl contender. Instead, they find themselves a game behind Seattle in the NFC West. The Seahawks are 3-2, but those two losses have come in their last two outings. We probably shouldn’t assign too much importance to a mid-October game, but my vibe is that it could be a tremendous catalyst for the victor, while the loser may need to reevaluate everything to find a path forward. The home field seems like it’s being undervalued by the oddsmakers, which I believe to be a mistake. Zach thinks ‘Frisco is simply a better team, even without McCaffrey.

My Pick: Seattle

Zach’s Pick: San Francisco 

Washington at Baltimore (-6.5)

Do they call this the Battle of the Beltway?? Have I heard that reference somewhere or am I imagining it?? Whatever the case, these teams are separated by less than an hour’s drive, meaning that the home field probably isn’t that significant. The 3-2 Ravens had a rough start to their season but have won three consecutive games. The Commanders are 4-1 and lead the NFC East. Rookie QB Jayden Daniels, the second overall pick in last spring’s draft, has been a revelation, and it will be exciting to watch them build a good team around him in the next couple of years. As far as this game goes, I think the key is whether or not Washington’s defense can stop Baltimore RB Derrick Henry, especially in the latter stages of a close game. It’s probably not a smart choice, but I will put my faith in Daniels to make enough plays to pull off an upset on the road. Zach isn’t necessarily sure who will come out on top, but he thinks it’ll be closer than a touchdown.

My Pick: Washington

Zach’s Pick: Washington 

2024 PIGSKIN PICKS OF PROFUNDITY…WEEK 6

Baseball playoffs have arrived & the hockey season is starting, but we’re all about football here. However, since the subject came up, I will opine that a Yankees World Series against the Dodgers or Phillies holds absolutely zero interest for me. It’s probably too much to ask, but a Royals/Tigers vs. Padres Series would be palatable. We’ll see. In the meantime I’ll continue to happily spend most of my weekends…vicariously…on the gridiron.

My Season: 19-14

Zach’s Season: 15-18

Michigan State at Oregon (-24)

This is the Friday night game on Fox, which I have quickly grown to love. That is probably a sad commentary on my life, but that’s okay. The 3-2 Spartans are unlikely to pose a serious threat to the unbeaten Ducks, but can they keep it respectable?? Oregon has only beaten one opponent by more than three touchdowns, while only Ohio St. has beaten Michigan St. by that much. It’s risky, but I’ll lean toward the home team winning by 15-20 points. Zach is a bit concerned by the points, but not concerned enough to agree with my assessment.

My Pick: Michigan St.

Zach’s Pick: Oregon 

UCLA at Penn State (-27.5)

I am intrigued by these games with such a large point spread. How is that number arrived at?? What kind of analytics are used?? I know it’s not done haphazardly. At any rate, the Nittany Lions are undefeated and haven’t been challenged too much thus far. Conversely, the 1-3 Bruins have lost three consecutive games and need to rebound quickly before the season is a total debacle. If the game were being played in Pasadena I might consider that the underdogs could remain competitive, but in Happy Valley I think we will see complete domination. Zach doesn’t believe that Penn St.’s offense is built to be that dominant, so he thinks it’ll be slightly closer than four TDs.

My Pick: Penn St.

Zach’s Pick: UCLA

Michigan at Washington (-3)

It’s a National Championship rematch, and when these teams met in January the Wolverines won in dominating fashion. Of course, as this is college football, these are both far different teams than they were last season. They even have new head coaches. Michigan is off to a 4-1 start, with only a loss to Texas as a blemish. Meanwhile, the erratic Huskies are 3-2 and Michael Penix Jr. ain’t walking thru their door. Washington gets the home field bump, but I’m not buying it. The talking heads at NBC would love for this to be a Michigan-Washington 2023 redux and will probably try to hype it as such, but I think the visitors will achieve a fairly mundane “upset”. Zach is concerned about his Wolverines offensive ineptitude, opining that even I might be a better QB for them, which is hilarious for reasons very few will understand. Anyway, since Michigan defeated USC last month he believes they stand a chance to win out west. 

My Pick: Michigan 

Zach’s Pick: Michigan

Buffalo at Houston (-1)

Despite getting trucked by the Baltimore Ravens last weekend the 3-1 Bills have been more impressive than I anticipated. Conversely, the 3-1 seem underwhelming regardless of their record. Both teams are dealing with alot of injuries, with the status of several key players up in the air at the moment, which makes accurate prognostication nearly impossible. It’s a leap of faith either way, but I’m riding with the home team. Zach is expecting a close contest that comes down to the wire, and he has confidence in QB Josh Allen to lead Buffalo to a huge win on the road.

My Pick: Houston

Zach’s Pick: Buffalo

Las Vegas at Denver (-2.5)

Will receiver Davante Adams be traded before Sunday?? Probably not. Will he be traded at all?? We’ll see. Will he suit up for this game?? I don’t know. The 2-2 Raiders probably aren’t going to be too successful with Gardner Minshew at QB with or without Adams. The Broncos are also 2-2, with rookie QB Bo Nix taking his lumps. I’m not expecting an instant classic or even an entertaining game, but it should atleast be competitive. Denver’s home field is always promoted as daunting with the higher elevation and all that jazz, but that hasn’t seemed to translate into consistent success. I foresee a forgettable upset. Zach is a little more upbeat about the fun factor but agrees on the outcome.

My Pick: Las Vegas

Zach’s Pick: Las Vegas