2024 Pigskin Picks of Profundity…Week 13

We won’t rehash last week except to say that I edged Zach by one game. Overall we both sank deeper into the abyss. It might seem like we’re chasing wins with bonus picks now, but that isn’t the case. It just so happens that the schedule is provocative, beginning on Thursday night when our Steelers visit Cleveland and I will regret not having adult beverages on hand. Of course we aren’t dealing with that contest, but I sure do hope it gets the weekend off to a good start. 

My Season: 37-35

Zach’s Season: 32-40

Ole Miss (-10) at Florida 

The 8-2 Rebels find themselves amidst a gaggle of atleast a half dozen teams vying for two spots in the SEC title game, and would like to remain in the very realistic scenario that could see four teams from that conference receive playoff berths. Conversely, the 5-5 Gators would be happy with a bowl bid & a non-losing season. I have to assume that Florida being double digit underdogs in The Swamp is rare, although they’ve lost at home four times this year…all by 13+ points. As much as I hate to point it out, I feel like we’ve landed right back in the era of “style points” being way too important, so for that reason I believe the visitors will deliver the beatdown expected from them. Zach has observed improvement from Florida, but doesn’t believe it’s enough to go against the grain this week.

My Pick: Ole Miss

Zach’s Pick: Ole Miss

Army vs. Notre Dame (-15.5)

In case you haven’t been paying attention, the Black Knights are unbeaten and ranked in the Top 20. Sadly, their program is treated like the precocious child that adults indulge for awhile at family gatherings before banishing them to the kiddie table. Meanwhile, the Irish still have to be kicking themselves for an inexcusable loss in early September to Northern Illinois (a team that currently finds themselves 6-5). They are virtually a lock for the playoff though, unless some really bizarre things occur. I’d love to pick an upset, but I don’t see any way Army loses the game by less than three TDs. Zach concurs.

My Pick: Notre Dame 

Zach’s Pick: Notre Dame 

Wisconsin at Nebraska (-2.5)

Neither team receives much attention in the stacked Big Ten, and considering their matching 5-5 records I suppose that indifference is well deserved. The Cornhuskers have lost four in a row, while the Badgers have dropped their last three games, including a spirited battle against #1 Oregon, which Wisconsin could’ve & should’ve won. I don’t think it’s easy to recover from heartbreak like that, so I’m riding with the home favorites. Zach foresees typical Big Ten, low scoring, smashmouth football. He believes Nebraska is finally headed in the right direction, but predicts a late 4th quarter game winning drive for the underdogs. 

My Pick: Nebraska

Zach’s Pick: Wisconsin 

Colorado (-2.5) at Kansas

I’ll admit that I haven’t shown Coach Prime much respect. He’s an attention whore who led the Buffaloes to an atrocious 4-8 record a season ago. Having said that, credit must be given for a turnaround that finds Colorado 8-2 and ranked in the Top 20. The 4-6 Jayhawks are a huge disappointment after finishing 9-4 last year. However, they have won two consecutive games against ranked opponents and have the home field. Can they do it again?? It’s probably not a very smart pick, but that’s the way The Voices are pulling me. Zach thinks Colorado has a legit shot at earning a playoff spot and sees them winning big this week.

My Pick: Kansas

Zach’s Pick: Colorado 

Indiana at Ohio State (-12.5)

It would be beneficial for college football if this ends up being a more competitive game than the “experts” believe it’ll be. Nearly everyone outside Columbus, OH is cheering on the undefeated Hoosiers. Every March we see a couple of basketball teams bask in the glory of upsetting a blue blood program. They rarely get close to winning the championship, but they earn “one shining moment” in the sun that’ll be cherished for a lifetime. That doesn’t happen as often on the football field, but this could potentially be that kind of occasion. Unfortunately, I think the Buckeyes are just too athletic at every position and the home field is formidable. Being wrong would make me happy in this case, but I don’t think I am. Zach recognizes that Ohio St. has plenty of experience in big games, but his issues with the entire state of Ohio that probably need to be explored by an experienced therapist preclude him from picking them.

My Pick: Ohio St.

Zach’s Pick: Indiana 

Dallas at Washington (-10.5)

It looks like I was a year ahead of the Cowboys implosion. I don’t know if that makes me vaguely psychic or just one of those hard luck bums who’ll be shown in The Great Beyond just how many times I screwed up, coming oh so close to happiness & success only to miss it by a whisper. At any rate, when I was a kid this was a cool rivalry chock full of Cowboys vs. Indians imagery & analogies, but leftists robbed us of that fun like they do in virtually all areas of society, and this year I don’t even expect it to be very interesting on the field. I just hope Jayden Daniels lights up the scoreboard since he’s my starting quarterback in a few fantasy leagues. Zach opines that Dallas probably needs to just scrap everything from the top down and start from scratch.

My Pick: Washington

Zach’s Pick: Washington 

Tampa Bay (-5.5) at NY Giants 

The Bucs are 4-6 but could just as easily be 7-3.  It seems that Baker Mayfield is a rather decent quarterback outside the Vortex of Apathy that sucks the joy out of Cleveland, but he has landed with another hard luck franchise. Meanwhile, it looks like the 2-8 Giants will be drafting another QB next spring, as they have finally admitted that Daniel Jones is indeed the epic failure the rest of us knew he was destined to become five years ago. New York could’ve waited until much later in that draft and snagged Gardner Minshew with better results. Anyway, this is exactly the kind of game RedZone was created for, because I’d rather dangle my junk in the kitchen sink at Diddy’s house than watch the entire sixty minutes. Tampa will win, but no one will notice or give a damn. Zach agrees.

My Pick: Tampa Bay

Zach’s Pick: Tampa Bay

Baltimore (-3) at LA Chargers 

Our Steelers beat the Ravens last week and every Baltimore apologist is still crying about it. Don’t misunderstand…I fully realize that it’s way too soon to get cocky, and the AFC North is still a street fight that’s far from over. However, I told y’all in the preseason that I wasn’t all in on the Baltimore hype, and I was right. Conversely, Jim Harbaugh has transformed the 7-3 Chargers into a playoff contender just like I told you he would. It’s a Monday night showdown that probably isn’t receiving enough attention. It won’t be easy, and I think RB Derrick Henry will rebound nicely from the abysmal game he had in Pittsburgh, but I am boldly calling for an upset. Zach enjoys the Harbaugh vs. Harbaugh of it all, and at the end of the day he also likes the former Michigan coach to prevail.

My Pick: LA Chargers 

Zach’s Pick: LA Chargers 

2024 Pigskin Picks of Profundity…Week 8

It must be noted that the plan to do bonus picks was determined by the impressive schedule (both college & pro), and isn’t a case of chasing wins after a disastrous week. Zach was 3-2 but still finds himself under .500 for the year, while I am barely staying above that mark after abysmal 1-4 results last weekend. College football in particular has been wild thus far, and the expanded playoff field might not be as predictable as I assumed it’d be.

My Season: 22-21

Zach’s Season: 19-24

Oklahoma State at BYU (-8.5)

The 3-3 Cowboys are winless in Big 12 action, and my lofty preseason opinion of them has been proven faulty. Conversely, the unbeaten Cougars have acclimated to the conference just fine and sit in the driver’s seat for an opportunity to play for the Big 12 title and receive a playoff berth. Lots of things can change in the second half of the season though. Does that shift begin now?? I don’t think so. It’s a Friday night game in Provo and the home favorites will be eager to show out on the national stage. Zach concurs.

My Pick: BYU

Zach’s Pick: BYU

Nebraska at Indiana (-6) 

My younger nephew Noah has been singing the praises of Indiana all season, with good reason. The Hoosiers have always been known for basketball, while their football program has been a Big Ten doormat. They come into this game undefeated with an opportunity to announce their arrival with authority against an old school traditional powerhouse. The 5-1 Cornhuskers will put up a damn good fight, but in the end I believe the favorites will defend their home turf. Zach still needs to see more from Indiana and believes they haven’t really been tested yet. He sees Nebraska as inconsistent though and likes the Hoosier defense to lead their team to victory.

My Pick: Indiana

Zach’s Pick: Indiana 

LSU (-3) at Arkansas

It could be the sleeper game of the entire weekend. The Bayou Bengals have rattled off five straight victories after a season opening loss to USC that seems worse now than it did a month & a half ago. Meanwhile, the Razorbacks are 4-2 but could easily be undefeated. Can they muster consecutive wins over Top 10 opponents?? I give them a chance with the home field, but ultimately I believe LSU finds a way to continue their momentum. Zach thinks Arkansas will fight until the end, but likes LSU quarterback Garrett Nussmeier to give his team a slight edge. 

My Pick: LSU

Zach’s Pick: LSU

Georgia at Texas (-3.5)

Hey look…it’s this week’s edition of The Biggest Greatest Most Important Game EVER. The problem with that narrative is the Bulldogs have already lost to Alabama, who then lost to Vanderbilt. Conversely, while Georgia is fighting to hold onto their SEC title & playoff hopes, the undefeated Longhorns sit atop the college football world and likely view this as their last remaining obstacle to a conference championship & first round playoff bye. I’d be stunned if they screwed that up at home. Zach views Texas as the most complete team in the country. He won’t be surprised if we see the battle spill into overtime, but likes Texas to eventually outlast their opponents.

My Pick: Texas

Zach’s Pick: Texas

New England vs. Jacksonville (-6)

Apparently the NFL plays in Europe every week now. Kickoff from Wembley Stadium in London is at 9:30am Sunday morning for us, and since both teams are 1-5 it’s hardly worth skipping church or getting out of bed to watch. Not only was I way wrong about the Jags, but QB Trevor Lawrence has turned into Just Another Quarterback instead of the perennial Pro Bowl, multiple Lombardi winning, future Hall of Famer many projected he’d become when he entered the league four years ago. He’s still only 25 years old, so he can turn things around, although it feels like he’ll need to go elsewhere for that to happen. As for the Patriots, we already know that their glory days left town with Brady & Belichick, and I have zero sympathy for the organization. I foresee a forgettable game that no one will really pay much attention to, with Jacksonville figuring out a way to get it done. Zach is impressed with rookie QB Drake Maye so he’s riding with New England in OG England.

My Pick: Jacksonville 

Zach’s Pick: New England 

Cincinnati (-4.5) at Cleveland

The Battle of Ohio is always mildly amusing. I told y’all that the preseason hype for the Browns was BS, and they’ve proven me right. At 1-5 they’re closer to the top pick in the next draft than a playoff berth. The 2-4 Bengals aren’t much better, which kind of surprises me. It’ll probably be closer than it should be, but I believe, despite their rough start, Cincy is clearly a better team. Zach thinks the Bengals are figuring things out and the turnaround has begun.

My Pick: Cincinnati

Zach’s Pick: Cincinnati 

Houston at Green Bay (-2.5)

I’m low key excited about the matchup. Injuries have played havoc with both the 4-2 Packers and the 5-1 Texans, but Houston currently leads their division while Green Bay is battling in perhaps the most competitive division in the NFL. If this game was being played a month from now I’d lean toward a huge home field advantage for The Pack, but I don’t think the tundra is frozen quite yet at Lambeau, which means we could see a mild upset. Zach thinks Green Bay’s defense might be a weak link.

My Pick: Houston 

Zach’s Pick: Houston 

Detroit at Minnesota (-1.5)

How will the loss of defensive end Aidan Hutchinson to a season ending broken leg affect the 4-1 Lions?? While I don’t think it completely torpedoes their season, it undoubtedly impacts their status as a Super Bowl contender. Conversely, the unbeaten Vikings have taken everybody by surprise. The resurgence of QB Sam Darnold has been remarkable. It might be the game of the day on Sunday, and despite the fact that Hutchinson’s loss is huge, my vibe is that Detroit finds a way to overcome. Sorry Minnesota…no one goes undefeated in the NFL. Zach thinks coaching makes the difference and he gives that advantage to Detroit.

My Pick: Detroit 

Zach’s Pick: Detroit

LA Chargers at Arizona (-1)

The NFC West is up for grabs thanks to Frisco’s shocking mediocrity, and the 2-4 Cards are in the conversation after upsets of the 49ers & Rams. Meanwhile, the Chargers are 3-2 and hoping to remain in wildcard contention since chasing down the KC Chiefs seems unlikely. This is the Monday night game, but I’m not as pumped about that as I should be. Arizona hasn’t convinced me yet and I don’t think they’ll start now. I told you that Jim Harbaugh would transform the Chargers into a playoff contender, and I believe we’ll see evidence of that this week. Zach agrees. 

My Pick: LA Chargers  

Zach’s Pick: LA Chargers

The Madness 2023

Madness in great ones must not unwatched go. – William Shakespeare

No worries Willie Shakes…we’ll be watching. My long weekend is all planned out. Beginning Thursday afternoon the annual hoops smorgasbord will take up the majority of many fans’ time for four straight days…and that’s just the appetizer. The 2023 NCAA Basketball Tournament will conclude on April 3 when new (maybe) National Champions are crowned. What’s odd about March Madness is that the buzz & anticipation peaks at the beginning and decreases as it moves forward. Right now more than five dozen fan bases in every nook & cranny of the country are happy because their team has a shot at the title, but by the end of the month only four will be left standing. Even from a casual fan’s perspective…if you don’t happen to have a dog in the fight…the coolest part of the journey is the opening weekend, which consists of wall-to-wall basketball – 48 games in four days.

You may notice that I do not speak of the “First” Four play-in games taking place on Tuesday & Wednesday night. Perhaps that is unfair, but I am a traditionalist who believes the tournament was perfect with 64 teams and rarely expects much from the superfluous four teams added to the field. It should also be noted that the bracket you see here is my one & only. While I have entered into multiple online contests (because why not) my bracket is the same in every one. I do not have the fortitude or inclination to keep track of multiple entries. I do not have any money invested in these picks because quite honestly I am not that good at prognostication. I am just a regular dude with no special knowledge or insight. I don’t do research or study any kind of data. It takes me about five minutes to fill out my bracket. I have learned thru the years not to go too crazy with first round upsets, but my definition of a true upset might differ from yours. #9 over #8 isn’t a big deal. A 10 seed over a 7 is a mild upset at best. Beyond that and you have the right to get excited.

East

You’ll see alot of chalk with two exceptions. I like the Catamounts of Vermont out of the American East Conference to not only upset #2 Marquette in Round 1, but to make it to the Sweet 16. In the second round they’ll be facing the USC Trojans, who I believe will beat the vaunted Michigan St. Spartans, a team that has played in seven Final Fours in this century alone. I foresee bluebloods Duke & Kentucky surviving the first round, but suffering surprising losses in Round 2. When it’s all said & done I think it’ll be the top seeded Purdue Boilermakers getting past Kansas St. in the Elite Eight. Center Zach Edey, at 7ft.4, is a problem for any opponent.

West

There are some intriguing possibilities in this region, and it could get a little wacky. I am picking the VCU Rams, who made it all the way to the Final Four back in 2011, to beat St. Mary’s in a classic 5/12 upset. They’ll catch a break in the second round because I like the Iona Gaels, coached by the once disgraced Rick Pitino, to beat the 4 seed UConn Huskies. VCU will run into Kansas in the Sweet 16 though, and it won’t end well for them. The 8/9 matchup should be fun, and I like Arkansas to prevail. You’ll probably be surprised to see that I’ve chosen the TCU Horned Frogs to make it to the regional final, a path that includes upsetting Gonzaga in Round 2 and UCLA in the Sweet 16. Nobody is making it past the defending champion Jayhawks though.

Midwest

First off, I don’t believe all that much in the top seeded Houston Cougars. They’ll win easily in the first round, but I’m looking at the Auburn Tigers to pull off an upset after they get past Iowa in Round 1. A similar fate awaits the Miami Hurricanes. Penn St. is the big surprise in this region. I like them to make it all the way to the Elite Eight before falling to Indiana. The Hoosiers might be looking at their first Final Four appearance in over two decades.

South

My West Virginia Mountaineers open the first round Thursday afternoon, and I think they’ll win. However, I would be shocked if WVU stays within ten points of Alabama in Round 2. I’m predicting a pretty big upset with 11th seeded Furman over #4 Virginia, but don’t get too excited Paladin fans…it is likely your team doesn’t make it past the second round. A lot of pundits question whether NC St. even belongs in the tournament, but I think that’ll motivate them to score a first round upset before losing in Round 2. I really like the Baylor Bears to make it out of the region by winning a close one over ‘Bama.

Final Four

That means my Final Four is Purdue vs. Baylor and Kansas vs. Indiana. Nothing too crazy, right?? As much as it pains me to say it, I believe we might end up with repeat champions as the Jayhawks cut down the nets for the fifth time in their history, tying the program with Duke and Indiana.