Navy Midshipmen

2024 PIGSKIN PICKS OF PROFUNDITY…WEEK 9

We kept our head above water doing bonus picks a week ago, with point spreads playing a key role in flipping several outcomes one way or the other. I’m glad not to be a gambler because I can imagine having a half point ruin your day could be rather frustrating. At any rate, I extended my season lead by one game, while Zach is one game closer to getting back to the .500 mark. We are each in the same general ballpark as this identical point a year ago.

My Season: 28-24

Zach’s Season: 24-28

Notre Dame (-12.5) vs. Navy

Don’t look now, but two of the service academy football teams are undefeated (sorry about your damn luck Air Force). Party like it’s 1946!! In the grand scheme of things that probably doesn’t mean much since it is doubtful they’d be considered playoff worthy, but it could make the Army-Navy game more consequential than it’s been in quite some time. We’re several weeks away from that though. Meanwhile, the 6-1 Irish are praying that an inexplicable September loss to Northern Illinois doesn’t torpedo their playoff aspirations. This rivalry dates back to 1927, with Notre Dame winning 80 of the 96 meetings. The Midshipmen last won in 2016. For some strange reason the game is being played at the NFL home of the Jets & Giants in New Jersey, meaning it’ll be the most entertaining contest those fans have seen all year. As much as I’d love to predict an upset I cannot imagine Navy overcoming what I assume is a notable disadvantage in size, speed, and athleticism. I’d love to be wrong. Zach believes Notre Dame being overrated is business as usual, and he thinks Navy can hang with them by running the ball and controlling the clock. 

My Pick: Notre Dame

Zach’s Pick: Navy 

Kansas at Kansas State (-9.5)

They call it the Sunflower Showdown, with the victor taking possession of the Governor’s Cup. It is actually the 4th longest active rivalry in college football (thanks realignment 🙄), with the Jayhawks leading the overall series despite the fact that the Wildcats have won the last 15 meetings dating back to 2009. State is 6-1 and has the home field, while 2-5 KU has to be disappointed with how things have gone thus far after winning nine games a season ago. I predicted K-St. would compete for the conference title, and they’re on pace to be in that mix. Zach doesn’t feel like it’ll be particularly close.

My Pick: Kansas St.

Zach’s Pick: Kansas St.

Illinois at Oregon (-21.5)

The 6-1 Illini announced their presence with authority last weekend, beating Michigan by two touchdowns. Not to be outdone, the undefeated Ducks sit atop the rankings with victories over Ohio St. and…well, okay, they beat Ohio St. and share the Big Ten lead with Indiana. I’d be surprised if Oregon lost at home, but the points concern me. Is Illinois for real?? They don’t have to win the game to gain that legitimacy, but they do need to be competitive. I don’t feel strongly either way, but I’ll roll the dice on the visitors keeping things respectable. Zach has been impressed by Illinois and agrees it won’t be as easy for Oregon as some might assume.

My Pick: Illinois 

Zach’s Pick: Illinois 

Chicago (-2.5) at Washington

It’s supposed to be a marquee matchup pitting #1 overall pick Caleb Williams against #2 overall pick Jayden Daniels, but the Commanders’ rookie QB suffered a rib injury last weekend so his status for this game remains a bit murky. Daniels, to the surprise of no one who pays attention, has been the more exciting & impactful signal caller thus far, leading his team to a 5-2 record and the NFC East lead. Williams has the Bears looking much improved at 4-2, though they have the misfortune of playing in the NFL’s most competitive division. I’m not a Vegas insider, but it isn’t difficult to figure out that the points are all about Daniels’ questionable status. If he plays and is unencumbered by the injury Washington is a clear favorite at home, but if backup QB Marcus Mariota is under center then things obviously tilt toward Chicago. Can Jayden Daniels channel 1997 NBA Finals Michael Jordan?? Holy schneikes that’d be freakin’ cool. Zach has always been more complimentary to Williams than I’ve been, but he likes the Commanders to score the slight upset.

My Pick: Washington

Zach’s Pick: Washington 

Dallas at San Francisco (-4.5)

The cool thing about this rivalry is that it isn’t completely about nostalgia. Oh sure, those of us old enough to remember legendary names like Jerry Rice, Michael Irvin, Steve Young, Troy Aikman, Jimmy Johnson, Emmitt Smith, Brent Jones, and Deion Sanders in their heyday become a bit sentimental about the classic skirmishes of the past, but the matchup always feels just as relevant as it did decades ago. The 3-4, injury plagued Niners have struggled more than anyone could’ve ever anticipated a few months ago but sit just one game out of the division lead. It’s a similar story for the 3-3 Cowboys, who are currently in third place in the NFC East. They are coming out of their bye week though, which probably offsets Frisco’s home field. It’s the Sunday night game on NBC and will likely get good ratings. I am somewhat surprised that Dallas isn’t favored even though they’re on the road, but watching Jerry Jones get ridiculed by the sports media is delightfully hilarious. Zach  doesn’t have a positive impression of either team, but he thinks San Francisco sucks less than the Cowboys right now.

My Pick: San Francisco 

Zach’s Pick: San Francisco 

2023 PIGSKIN PICKS OF PROFUNDITY…WEEK 1

A year ago I got off to an atrocious start with these picks of what the talking heads call Week Zero. I was behind the eight ball from the jump, but recovered enough to finish the season in a dead heat with Zach, both of us ending up a lowly 57-64. I went on to win an admittedly convoluted tiebreaker for the season victory, but I sincerely hope we don’t need to resort to that again. I just want us to be better at this, even though there is no money or anything else at stake. At any rate, it’s great to have football to enjoy every weekend again. I don’t know how much game action I’ll be able to actually watch these first couple of weeks, but I’m going to appreciate the hell out of whatever I’m able to see.

Navy at Notre Dame (-20.5)

It’s a rivalry that goes all the way back to 1927, with the Irish leading the series 81-13-1. The last time the Midshipmen were victorious was 2016. Having said that, it’s not always a blowout. Notre Dame won by only three points last November after Navy put up 16 points in the 4th quarter and the winners didn’t score at all in the second half. No one expects Navy to win this game, but will they lose by three TDs?? I’m willing to roll the dice and say they’ll keep things just a bit closer…maybe 15-18 points. Zach believes the underdogs will keep things close in the first half, but Notre Dame will roll to a huge win.

My Pick: Navy

Zach’s Pick: Notre Dame

Hawaii at Vanderbilt (-16.5)

If you need any more proof that collegiate athletics is all about money, just witness Vanderbilt in the SEC. They bring nothing to the table competitively, but it’s a university for wealthy folks, so it really doesn’t matter what happens on the field. The Commodores had back-to-back nine win seasons in 2012-13, their first (and last) since 1982. The Rainbow Warriors have been slightly more successful thru the years, but have suffered thru three straight losing seasons. Something about the points doesn’t make sense here. Logic dictates that there’s a reason other than simple home field advantage, but I don’t know what it could be. I believe it’ll be more competitive than the oddsmakers think. Conversely, Zach thinks Hawaii is a terrible team and Vandy will win easily.

My Pick: Hawaii

Zach’s Pick: Vanderbilt

Ohio at San Diego State (-3.5)

Hey, we finally have a (presumably) close contest!! Far be it from me to fall prey to preconceived notions, but MAC games are usually slow paced, old fashioned, smashmouth football, whereas the Mountain West is generally known to be high scoring & more exciting. Will this game stay true to form?? The Bobcats are coming off a 10-4 season topped off by an overtime bowl victory, while the Aztecs were a more pedestrian 7-6. SD St. has the home field and should be better defensively, so I think they win by a touchdown. Zach foresees the home team going against the grain and winning easily with a solid rushing attack.

My Pick: San Diego St.

Zach’s Pick: San Diego St.

Florida International at Louisiana Tech (-10.5)

When my Thundering Herd played in Conference USA I paid much more attention to these teams and always looked forward to watching them play. However, I lost track of them a year ago when Marshall moved to the Sun Belt. FIU was 4-8 last season under a new head coach, while Tech went 3-9 in the same circumstance. There’s nowhere to go but up for both programs, and I’m sure they’d love to get things started the right way. In a head-to-head matchup last year the Panthers won at home in two OTs, so I expect the Bulldogs to get their revenge…by less than ten points. Zach, on the other hand, likes Tech to throw the ball & achieve a big victory thru the air.

My Pick: FIU

Zach’s Pick: Louisiana Tech

San Jose State at Southern California (-30.5)

The Trojans are a Top 10 team in most preseason polls. The Spartans haven’t won more than seven games in a season since 2012. I’m a big fan of monumental upsets, but that isn’t happening. Can USC cover the points though?? They’re 5-0 all time against SJSt., but the margin of victory exceeded 30 points only twice. With bigger fish to fry in the future and a possible playoff run on the horizon I think the home team will play alot of young backups and not even approach full throttle. They’ll win, but by 20-25 points. Zach is a little hesitant about the points but thinks USC will cover.

My Pick: San Jose St.

Zach’s Pick: USC